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Will Solana Hit $10,000? (Answer May Surprise You)

Will Solana Hit $10,000? (Answer May Surprise You)
Will Solana Hit $10,000? (Answer May Surprise You)
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Key takeaways

  • $10,000 SOL is highly unlikely. This would mean that SOL would have a market cap larger than the entire crypto market today. 
  • It’s possible that Solana’s Firedancer upgrade and the US government’s crypto-friendly policies could lead to short-term price growth.

What is Solana? 

Solana is a smart contract blockchain launched in 2020, designed for efficiency, low fees, and fast transaction speeds. Because of its unique architecture, it’s a popular choice for cryptocurrency games and memecoin projects! 

Solana uses a unique Proof of History consensus mechanism to enable fast transaction speeds. However, some critics say that it sacrifices decentralization to achieve its goals. 

In recent years, Solana has seen rapid price growth due to the growth of its memecoin ecosystem, President Trump’s crypto-friendly policies, and the recent introduction of a staked Solana ETF. 

Why is Solana’s price going up? 

Here are a few recent news stories that have helped move Solana’s price upwards. 

Performance upgrades: Solana developers are rolling out Firedancer, a new validator client aimed at solving Solana's past technical issues. Early tests suggest Firedancer could make transactions on Solana as fast as 1 million TPS! 

Crypto strategic reserve: In 2025, President Trump announced that SOL would be held in the US crypto strategic reserve alongside other cryptocurrencies like ETH and BTC. 

Crypto in retirement accounts: In August 2025, President Trump signed an executive order that could help allow SOL and other cryptocurrencies to be held in retirement accounts. This may help increase the long-term demand for SOL. 

Memecoins: In 2024-2025, Solana became the dominant blockchain for memecoin trading. Some analysts claim that the memecoin frenzy is simply a passing fad. However, it’s clear that the trend has brought a surge of new users and wallets to the blockchain. 

Can SOL really reach $10,000? 

With roughly 540 million SOL in circulation, a $10,000 price would imply a $5.4 trillion market cap. This is mathematically unlikely.

To put this number in context, that's more than the total value of all crypto today. It’s also larger than the value of tech giants like Apple and Meta.

It’s unlikely that Solana will reach this valuation during the current cycle. 

Is Solana a good investment? 

Pros: 

  • Solana offers fast transactions and is a popular blockchain for crypto games and memecoins. 
  • Solana has been growing faster than Ethereum and other smart contract blockchains in recent years. 
  • Solana has seen a growing level of institutional support. In 2025, a staked SOL ETF became available on the US stock market for the first time. 

Risks:

  • Solana has consistently suffered from outages over the years (like a five-hour outage in February 2024). 
  • Solana has also faced criticism for being more centralized than other blockchains. While Ethereum has more than 1 million validators, Solana has just over 1,000. 

Should I invest in SOL?: Solana is a great choice for anyone who’s bullish on decentralized applications that require fast speeds. However, it’s important to note that Solana faces fierce competition from other smart contract blockchains (including Ethereum). 

Price scenarios: bullish vs. bearish (and what would trigger each)

What’s the bull case for Solana?: If Firedancer delivers on its promises, demand for Solana-based apps continues to grow, and capital flows from IRAs and retirement accounts materialize, some analysts forecast a price in the low thousands. 

What’s the bear case for Solana?: On the other hand, if Solana is unable to solve its performance issues and the memecoin hype fades without new applications taking its place, SOL could struggle to climb above current levels. 

Solana vs. Bitcoin vs. Ethereum: Which is the better investment?

Let’s compare Solana as an investment to Bitcoin and Ethereum. 

BTC: Bitcoin is the digital gold of crypto. It offers a limited supply, high security, and is considered a hedge against inflation. 

ETH: Ethereum is the world’s most popular smart contract blockchain. It’s a popular choice for DeFi protocols and NFTs, offering high security with slower speeds. 

SOL: Solana is the world’s fastest smart contract blockchain. It’s ideal for decentralized apps that require fast speeds and low fees. 

Each cryptocurrency offers its own strengths. 

Some investors choose to invest in all three cryptocurrencies. While Solana and Ethereum are both smart contract blockchains, some analysts speculate that the blockchains can co-exist. Solana may be used for high-speed transactions, while Ethereum will be used for applications that require a high level of security. 

What is Firedancer? 

Firedancer is a technical upgrade for Solana that could make the network stronger than ever before. Built with a different code base, it helps prevent chain-wide failures and offers incredibly fast speeds. 

Tests show Firedancer can handle over a million transactions per second under ideal conditions. If the upgrade is successful, it would make Solana the world’s fastest blockchain (which could potentially take demand for SOL to new levels!) 

Firedancer is expected to be released in 2025. However, it’s important to note that Firedancer’s release has been delayed multiple times over the years. 

Conclusion

$10,000 SOL is not likely in the near future. However, it’s possible that the price of SOL could hit new all-time highs due to crypto-friendly policies and growing institutional support.

Frequently asked questions

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Dhiraj Nallapaneni
Written by:
Dhiraj Nallapaneni
Crypto Tax Writer

Dhiraj Nallapaneni is a Crypto Tax Writer at CoinLedger. As an Economics degree holder from the University of California Santa Barbara, he’s well versed in topics like cryptocurrency markets and taxation.

About the Author

CoinLedger has strict sourcing guidelines for our content. Our content is based on direct interviews with tax experts, guidance from tax agencies, and articles from reputable news outlets.

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